Kyrgyzstan's
Neighbors Ready to Help
MOSCOW
(RIA Novosti, by Dmitry Kosyrev) -- Kyrgyzstan must be helped.
It is obvious for Moscow, Beijing and all the neighbors of this
Central Asian state, where the looting of offices and shops are
underway instead of a "feast of democracy." People in
neighboring Kazakhstan, whose living standards have gone up in
the past few years, watched with condescension how Kyrgyzstan's
economy showed no progress under the leadership of President Askar
Akayev. They were proud to say that on the average a Kazakh today
is 6 times as rich as a Kyrgyz. (In Kyrgyzstan with a 5 million
population annual GDP is $2 billion, while in the 15 million Kazakhstan
it is $37 billion.) Now pride has given way to concern.
The
causes of concern are obvious enough. It takes just two hours
to get by car from Alma-Ata to Bishkek. Most often refugees go
on foot, but they will not have to walk too long to cover this
distance. It appears to be dangerous to have a poor neighbor.
It is wiser and more advantageous to help him to get rich. For
this reason in Kazakhstan and other countries of the region,
even if they are not so rich, the authorities begin to think
what investments are required in the poor districts of Kyrgyzstan,
from where crowds marched to Bishkek. It is a cause of concern
also for Russia and China, the countries that are more distant
from Kyrgyzstan but which are not indifferent to what is going
on in Central Asia.
It
is Moscow that the new leader of Kyrgyzstan, Kurmanbek Bakiyev,
appealed for to help. Soon after assuming power he found out
that the most urgent problem facing the country was spring sowing.
Its disruption would cause famine already next winter. Bakiyev
called President of Russia Vladimir Putin to ask for seeds and
fuel for tractors. A positive answer came immediately.
But
emergency actions do not solve all problems. The change of political
thinking in the capitals of the neighboring countries is that
regional cooperation should be intensified to avert common dangers,
the character of which has been clearly shown by the events in
Kyrgyzstan. Earlier thinking was different - many words about
cooperation were said, but they were never followed by actions.
We
are faced with the same grim reality, a problem which most of
nearly 200 countries have been trying for decades to bring home
to a group of industrialized states. In the world today we should
no longer put up with such a contrast between the rich and the
poor countries. It is dangerous, above all for the rich countries.
Help the poor nations to develop their economies and, instead
of threats, you will get hundreds of millions of new buyers.
It
is rather difficult to understand this obvious idea on a world
level. But the regional level is a quite different matter. Today
every Russian or, say, Chinese, having seen TV news reports from
Kyrgyzstan, may well imagine what troubles lie in store for him,
if similar "feasts of democracy" with robberies, smashed
shop windows, and throwing of president's colors under feet erupt
all across Central Asia, which borders on both Russia and China.
It is far more difficult to calculate what losses the events
according to the worst scenario would be. But in any case the
cost is far greater than investment in the economic and political
development of the neighbors, which actually boils down to helping
themselves.
As
for the worst scenarios, today they are, perhaps, most obvious
for the population and leaders of Uzbekistan. In the past the
terrorist Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan had deep roots in Kyrgyzstan
as well, around Osh, a city not far from the Uzbek capital with
a large Uzbek community. And today it is not clear who led a
crowd from the suburbs of Osh and Dzhelalabad to storm state
buildings and prisons. It was not the former Kyrgys opposition,
which was surprised at those developments more than all others.
But who did? Could it be the IDU and Khizb-ut-Takhrir, the organizations
involved in the recent series of terrorist acts in Tashkent?
Anyway, Tashkent has to help Bishkek to restore law and order
and solve the problems of poverty in the southern regions bordering
on Uzbekistan.
It
in no smaller degree concerns the two other regional powers -
Russia and China. The threats to the security of Kyrgyzstan directly
concern both China, which has a common border with Kyrgyzstan,
and Russia, as it fears a disaster in the whole of the region,
which begins southeast of its borders with Kazakhstan.
Evidently
regional organizations, set up to ensure stability and development
in Central Asia - the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO),
the Collective Security Treaty Organization and others - will
become more important for Moscow and Beijing today. The consequences
of the changes in thinking may already be witnessed at the SCO
summit due in Astana in July.